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W1GMF > SKYWRN 11.02.06 13:01l 571 Lines 17821 Bytes #999 (0) @ NEBBS
BID : 23413_W1GMF
Read: GUEST
Subj: MAJOR NOR'EASTER
Path: ON0AR<F6KMO<EA5DVS<TI3AMM<HP2AT<KD4GCA<N1UAN<N1UAN<W1GMF
Sent: 060211/1145Z @:W1GMF.#EMA.MA.USA.NOAM #:23413 [Abington, MA FN42MC]
From: W1GMF@W1GMF.#EMA.MA.USA.NOAM
To : SKYWRN@NEBBS
Hello to all..
..Major Nor'easter Will Bear Down on Southern New England Saturday Evening
through Sunday Afternoon with the Potential for Heavy Snow, Blizzard
Conditions, Pockets of Wind Damage and Moderate Coastal Flooding...
..A Blizzard Watch is now in effect for Eastern Essex, Southeastern
Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Plymouth, Bristol, Plymouth, Barnstable, Dukes
and Nantucket Counties of Massachusetts and Newport, Providence, Kent,
Washington, Newport, Bristol Counties and Block Island Rhode Island for
Saturday Evening through Sunday Afternoon. 8-15" of Snow is likely in the
Blizzard Watch area with slightly lesser amounts over portions of the South
Coast of Massachusetts/Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for Northern Connecticut, the
remainder of Massachusetts and Southern New Hampshire. 8-15" of Snow is
Possible in Northern Connecticut through Central Massachusetts. Lesser
amounts of snow will fall in Southern New Hampshire and Northwest
Massachusetts but the potential exists for 6" or more of snow in those
areas..
..A Coastal Flood Watch has been issued for the Sunday Late Morning High
Tide for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Nantucket..
..Preparations to protect life and property in the Blizzard Watch area
should be completed by Saturday Evening. Conditions will deteriorate as the
storm approaches with blizzard conditions several hours after the snow
beings..
..ARES/RACES Groups in the Blizzard Watch area should closely monitor this
situation and seek advice of their leadership for any direction on action
for this major nor'easter..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton could commence as early as late
Saturday Evening between 9 PM and 12 AM to as late as 5 AM Sunday Morning
and continue through late Sunday Afternoon..
A major nor'easter is preparing to bear down on Southern New England
Saturday Evening through Sunday Afternoon with the potential for Heavy Snow,
Blizzard Conditions, Pockets of Wind Damage, and Moderate Coastal Flooding.
Models continue to call for a major nor'easter to bear down and impact much
of Southern New England with Blizzard conditions quite possible in Eastern
New England.
A Blizzard Watch has been issued for East Coastal and interior Eastern
Massachusetts from the Mass. Pike South to the South Coast of Massachusetts
including Cape Cod and the Islands and all of Rhode Island for Saturday
Evening through Sunday Afternoon. The potential exists for 8-15" of snow in
this region with slightly lesser amounts of 6-12" possible across South
Coastal Rhode Island and Massachusetts. Strong winds with the potential for
wind gusts of 50 MPH or greater and sustained winds of 20-40 MPH will cause
near zero visibilities, whiteout conditions and with the potential for these
conditions to last 3 or more hours, a Blizzard Watch has been posted for the
region. In addition to the blowing and drifting snow, the strong winds will
have the potential to cause pockets of wind damage with pockets of trees and
wires down and power outages.
A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for Northern Connecticut, the
remainder of Massachusetts and Southern New Hampshire. In this area, near
blizzard conditions are possible particularly from Connecticut through
Central Massachusetts where winds will be strongest and the potential exists
for 8-15" of snow. Areas to the north and west across Southern New Hampshire
and Northwest Massachusetts will experience less snow and wind but will
still have the potential for 6" or more of snow.
A Coastal Flood Watch has been issued for the Sunday Late Morning High Tide
for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Nantucket. The strong winds
with gusts up to 60 MPH and sustained winds of 20-40 MPH coupled with the
Sunday Late Morning High Tide maybe sufficient for a moderate coastal flood
event at the time of high tide in these areas. This situation will bear
close watching.
Given that Blizzard Watches are posted for a portion of the region, this
major nor'easter will have the potential to knock out at least minimal
infrastructure in the region. It is hard to know how much infrastructure
will be affected but at least minimal parts of the infrastructure will have
the potential to be affected. Preparations to protect life and property in
and close to the Blizzard Watch area should be completed by Saturday Evening
with necessary supplies brought into homes prior to the storm. Given
uncertainties on impact to infrastructure, everyone should treat this like
an exercise in personal preparedness, being prepared to ride out a situation
where loss of power and issues could occur for a long period of time and if
it does not happen, those preparations have been made in case another storm
threatens in similar fashion. Have battery powered equipment and if you own
a generator have it ready for use in case it is needed. Travel should not
occur during the storm as it will be potentially life-threatening.
We would like as many Amateurs as possible to monitor their local SKYWARN
repeater and report snowfall, and damage at their locations. All SKYWARN
Spotters, Coordinators and Net Controls are urged to stand ready and be
prepared to forward significant reports to NWS Taunton. Please utilize the
following link for the latest frequency list:
http://users.rcn.com/rmacedo/freq.htm
Please note that the primary SKYWARN repeater for the Boston area will be
the 145.23-Boston Repeater along with the 145.47-Danvers Repeater and the
146.955-Westford Repeater to cover the remaining areas of Northeastern
Massachusetts. The 146.625-Haverhill Repeater will also be available for use
as required.
Blowing and drifting snow will be a huge problem for measurements so
spotters are asked to do the best they can to measure the snowfall and use
various techniques to get the best measurement possible. Make sure to clear
snow from past storms away from your snow measuring areas so old snow is not
measured with new snowfall. Also, be ready to report wind/snow damage, power
outages and coastal flooding to NWS Taunton during this event. Snowfall
could fall at a rate of 3 inches per hour. Snowfall every 2" could occur on
a rapid basis so it will be important to get frequent snowfall totals via
the SKYWARN Nets. Given the threat to infrastructure, nets will be active
with Hams monitoring the situation. Non-Ham spotters are encouraged to use
the online web form for reporting as well as the spotter line when needed.
SKYWARN Formal Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton could commence as early as
9 or 10 PM Saturday Evening or as late as 4 or 5 AM Sunday Morning. This
will depend on the overall timing of this major nor'easter. Coordination
messages on Saturday will better detail activation plans. ARES/RACES Groups
in the Blizzard Watch area should closely monitor the situation and consult
advice from their leadership as required.
The next coordination message will follow by Noon Saturday. Below are the
Blizzard/Winter Storm Watch Statement and the Coastal Flood Watch Statement
from NWS Taunton:
WWUS41 KBOX 110203
WSWBOX
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
903 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2006
...A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN RHODE ISLAND AND PORTIONS
OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
.LOW PRESSURE REDEVELOPING OVER THE CAROLINAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY INTO A WINTER STORM AS IT PASSES ABOUT 75 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET SUNDAY MORNING.
MAZ007-013>018-RIZ001>005-111015-
/O.CAN.KBOX.WS.A.0003.060212T0000Z-060212T2200Z/
/O.EXA.KBOX.BZ.A.0001.060212T0000Z-060212T2200Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
BRISTOL RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOUCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...FOSTER...
SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL
903 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2006
...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED...
...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON INCLUDING THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR FROM BOSTON AND
PROVIDENCE AND POINTS SOUTHEAST. THE WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.
WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY TO THE EXACT TRACK...THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACROSS A LARGE PORTION
OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REACH CONNECTICUT...RHODE ISLAND AND
SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS SATURDAY EVENING THEN SPREAD SLOWLY NORTH
OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD FALL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MIDDAY SUNDAY.
LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THAT AN AXIS OF 8 TO 15 INCHES OF SNOW
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS RHODE ISLAND AND CENTRAL AND EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS FROM THE WORCESTER HILLS TO TAUNTON...BOSTON NORTH
TO THE MERRIMACK VALLEY.
AT THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM SUNDAY MORNING...IT IS VERY POSSIBLE
THAT SNOWFALL RATES WILL REACH 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES ALONG
WITH A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH
WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH POOR VISIBILITY
SUNDAY.
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE BOSTON AND PROVIDENCE
AREAS DURING THE HEIGHT OF THIS STORM AS VISIBILITY DUE TO FALLING
AND BLOWING SNOW IS REDUCED TO 1/4 MILE AT TIMES.
THIS IS A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WINTER STORM. TRAVEL MAY BE
SERIOUSLY IMPACTED BY THE COMBINATION OF POOR VISIBILITY AND
SLIPPERY ROADS. PLAN TO HAVE TRAVEL COMPLETED BY LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR UPDATED INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER STORM.
A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR CONSIDERABLE
FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OVER 35 MPH AND VISIBILITIES BELOW 1/4 MILE FOR AT LEAST
3 HOURS. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAKING TRAVEL VERY
DANGEROUS. BE PREPARED TO ALTER ANY TRAVEL PLANS.
$$
MAZ019>024-RIZ006>008-111015-
/O.CON.KBOX.BZ.A.0001.060212T0000Z-060212T2200Z/
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...
MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...
VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT...
BLOCK ISLAND
903 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2006
...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST
COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS.
A MAJOR WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO PASS SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET
ISLAND SUNDAY. WHILE THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY TO THE EXACT
TRACK...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST COASTAL AREAS SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY. AS A RESULT...THE WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN CHANCED TO
A BLIZZARD WATCH.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE SOUTH COAST LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON
OR EARLY EVENING. IT WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IT IS VERY POSSIBLE
THAT SNOWFALL RATES WILL REACH 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES
ALONG WITH A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS TO OVER 50 MPH MAY CREATE BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS AS VISIBILITY IS REDUCED TO BELOW 1/4 MILE.
BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF SUNDAY AFTERNOON...TOTAL SNOWFALL
SHOULD AVERAGE 6 TO 12 INCHES.
A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR CONSIDERABLE
FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OVER 35 MPH AND VISIBILITIES BELOW 1/4 MILE FOR AT LEAST
3 HOURS. WHITE OUT CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAKING TRAVEL VERY
DANGEROUS. BE PREPARED TO ALTER ANY TRAVEL PLANS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR UPDATED INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER STORM.
$$
CTZ002>004-MAZ002>006-008>012-026-NHZ011-012-015-111015-
/O.CON.KBOX.WS.A.0003.060212T0000Z-060212T2200Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...
MILFORD...WORCESTER...AYER...JAFFREY...KEENE...MANCHESTER...
NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE
903 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2006
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
WHILE THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY TO THE EXACT TRACK...THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACROSS A LARGE
PORTION OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REACH CONNECTICUT...RHODE ISLAND AND
SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING THEN
SPREAD SLOWLY NORTH OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD FALL
OVERNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT INTO MIDDAY SUNDAY.
LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THAT AN AXIS OF 8 TO 15 INCHES OF SNOW
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS CONNECTICUT...RHODE ISLAND...CENTRAL
MASSACHUSETTS FROM THE WORCESTER HILLS TO TAUNTON... BOSTON NORTH TO
THE MERRIMACK VALLEY. LESSER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN FAR NORTHWEST
MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE.
AT THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM SUNDAY MORNING...IT IS VERY POSSIBLE
THAT SNOWFALL RATES WILL REACH 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES
ALONG WITH A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS MAY CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW WITH POOR VISIBILITY.
NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HARTFORD...
WORCESTER...BOSTON AND PROVIDENCE AREAS DURING THE HEIGHT OF THIS
STORM AS VISIBILITY DUE TO FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW IS REDUCED TO
BELOW 1/2 MILE AT TIMES.
THIS IS A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WINTER STORM. TRAVEL MAY BE
SERIOUSLY IMPACTED BY THE COMBINATION OF POOR VISIBILITY AND
SLIPPERY ROADS. PLAN TO HAVE TRAVEL COMPLETED BY LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR UPDATED INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER STORM.
$$
STRAUSS
318
WHUS41 KBOX 110311
CFWBOX
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1011 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2006
MAZ007-015-016-019-022-024-111115-
/O.CON.KBOX.CF.A.0004.060212T1400Z-060212T2000Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-NANTUCKET MA-
1011 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2006
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS SHORELINE
FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER SOUTH TO NANTUCKET ISLAND.
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE GULF COAST STATES THIS EVENING...WILL
TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL REACH THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST SATURDAY EVENING...THEN TRACK NORTHEAST SATURDAY NIGHT
AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFY INTO A POWERFUL STORM AS IT PASSES ABOUT 75 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
THE STORM WILL PRODUCE VERY STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO
40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE SUNDAY. THESE STRONG WINDS
WILL RESULT IN A STORM SURGE OF 2.0 TO 2.5 FT DURING THE LATE
MORNING TO MIDDAY SUNDAY HIGH TIDE...ALONG WITH 20 TO 25 FT SEAS
JUST OFFSHORE. THE COMBINATION OF STORM TIDES APPROACHING FLOOD
STAGE AND VERY LARGE SEAS JUST OFFSHORE PROVIDING ADDITIONAL
ELEVATION...WILL RESULT IN A MODERATE RISK OF COASTAL FLOODING
AND BEACH EROSION DURING THE MIDDAY HIGH TIDE CYCLE SUNDAY.
STORM TIDE FORECASTS FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE IN FEET MEAN
LOWER LOW WATER. TIME OF HIGH TIDE HAS BEEN ROUNDED TO THE
NEAREST HOUR.
SITE FLOOD TIME OF FORECAST
STAGE HIGH TIDE STORM TIDE
EAST COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS
NEWBURYPORT 11.5 11 AM SUN 10.2
GLOUCESTER HARBOR 11.5 11 AM SUN 11.0
BOSTON HARBOR 13.5 11 AM SUN 12.0
SCITUATE 12.5 11 AM SUN 11.1
PLYMOUTH 14.3 11 AM SUN 11.8
PROVINCETOWN 12.0 11 AM SUN 11.4
NANTUCKET HARBOR 6.0 NOON SUN 5.8
A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR COASTAL
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE
ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO
PROTECT PROPERTY.
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Pager #: (508) 354-3142
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 1-800-445-2588 Ext.: 72929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: <mailto:rmacedo@rcn.com> rmacedo@rcn.com
<http://users.rcn.com/rmacedo> http://users.rcn.com/rmacedo
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